Phobos-Grunt reentry – A quick guide for skywatchers

Before you start to use any of satellite tracking applications make sure that the computer clock is correct and the time zone is compatible with your Region. The latest Phobos-Grunt orbit data is here. Below are some important data. USSPACECOM Catalog No.: 37872 International Designation Code: 2011-065-A Launch Date: 2011-11-08 Launch Vehicle: Zenit Launch Site: Tyuratam (Baikonur Cosmodrome), Kazakhstan Mass: 730.0 kg Nominal Power: 150.0 W Intrinsic brightness (Mag): 4.5 (at 1000km distance, 50% illuminated) Maximum brightness (Mag): -3.8 (at perigee, 100% illuminated)   The orbit data is...

Before you start to use any of satellite tracking applications make sure that the computer clock is correct and the time zone is compatible with your Region. The latest Phobos-Grunt orbit data is here. Below are some important data.

USSPACECOM Catalog No.: 37872
International Designation Code: 2011-065-A
Launch Date: 2011-11-08
Launch Vehicle: Zenit
Launch Site: Tyuratam (Baikonur Cosmodrome), Kazakhstan
Mass: 730.0 kg
Nominal Power: 150.0 W
Intrinsic brightness (Mag): 4.5 (at 1000km distance, 50% illuminated)
Maximum brightness (Mag): -3.8 (at perigee, 100% illuminated)

 


The orbit data is extracted from the following two-line orbital elements (TLE):

1 37872U 11065A   12013.87144717  .01576755  12450-4  65173-4 0  3011 
2 37872 051.4148 000.5559 0020257 313.6808 046.2171 16.41416268 10664
Re-entry Estimates – all dates/times are UTC
2012 Jan 16, 07:00 ± 36 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 9, 03:48
Seesat-L (Ted Molczan)
2012 Jan 15, 11:10 ± 10 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 9, 16:00
Seesat-l (Harro Zimmer)
2012 Jan 16, 07:00 ± 32 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 10, 06:34
Seesat-L (Ted Molczan)
2012 Jan 16, 08:30 ± 36 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 10, 09:23
Aerospace CORDS
2012 Jan 15, 14:36 ± 72 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 10, 21:20
Spacetrack (TIP)
2012 Jan 16, 18:00 ± 24 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 11, 04:21
Seesat-L (Ted Molczan)
2012 Jan 15, 09:18 ± 36 hours
Issued 2012 Jan 11, 06:00
Roscosmos
2012 Jan 16, 02:36 ± 18 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 11, 08:52
Aerospace CORDS
2012 Jan 15
Issued 2012 Jan 11
Spacetrack (60 day)
2012 Jan 15, 17:57 ± 20 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 12, 08:20
Aerospace CORDS
2012 Jan 15, 12:00 ± 3 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 12, 17:00
Seesat-L (Harro Zimmer)
2012 Jan 15, 17:09 ± 14.5 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 12, 18:36
Spacetrack (TIP)
2012 Jan 15, 17:52 ± 504 min
Issued 2012 Jan 13, 10:40
Aerospace CORDS
2012 Jan 15, 17:05 ± 3 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 13, 11:30
Seesat-L (Harro Zimmer)
2012 Jan 15, 16:22
Issued 2012 Jan 13
Roscosmos
2012 Jan 15, 17:34 ± 9 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 13, 15:30
Spacetrack (TIP)
2012 Jan 15, 18:01 ± 8.5 hrs
Issued 2012 Jan 13, 15:30
Spacetrack (TIP) – correction?
2012 Jan 15, 17:51
Issued 2012 Jan 14, 06:00
Roscosmos

Here are some satellite tracking applications in real-time:

Heavens-Above

N2YO

Zarya

Satellite Flybys

SatWiev

Sat-Flare Tracker 3D

 CelesTrak

GoogleSat Track (LizardTail)

If you want to track Phobos-Grunt reentry on your Smartphone you can use this applications:

SimpleFlybys

Phobos-Grunt App


 

You may also download an interactive simulation of the PHOBOS-GRUNT re-entry scenario, which uses the free AGI Viewer software to allow you to explore the latest reentry prediction in more detail.

PHOBOS-GRUNT Re-entry Interactive Simulation

Featured image credit: AGI


Related posts:

  1. Stranded Phobos-Grunt probe to reentry into Earth’s atmosphere in mid-January Russian Mars probe Phobos-Grunt, stranded in Earth orbit since its main engines failed to fire after launch on Nov. 8th, is beginning to sink back into the atmosphere. Analysts expect re-entry to occur sometime in early to mid-January 2012. Until then, it is possible to see the doomed probe zipping brightly across the night sky. Kevin Fetter video-recorded this pass over his home in Brockville, Canada, on Dec. 8th: In the video, Phobos Grunt was shining......
  2. Phobos-Grunt reentry scheduled for January 14 Russia’s Phobos-Grunt spacecraft will fall “unofficially” on January 14th, somewhere between 30.7 degrees north and 62.3 degrees east, placing debris near the city of Mirabad, in southwestern Afghanistan. RiaNovosti said this prediction is according to the United States Strategic Command who calculated the craft will reenter Earth’s atmosphere at 2:22 am. The Russian Federal Space agency Roscosmos said earlier that the troubled spacecraft would fall between January 6-19 at a location between 51.4 Degrees North......